Proof continues to pile up, by way of leaked studies, of an total breakdown within the Ukrainian entrance strains.
Beforehand, we centered on the southern Zaporozhye entrance. Now let’s give attention to Kharkov, within the northeast.
The hooked up doc, absolutely verified for authenticity, is a July report back to the Chief of Workers of the operational-tactical group “Sumy”.
The report principally says that it’s unattainable to withdraw two-thirds of the A7383 unit from the battlefield to revive fight readiness as a result of the remaining third is unable to carry the fort – which occurs to stretch alongside 55.5 km.
On the similar time, recruitment proceeded very slowly.
4 months in the past, the 127th Separate Territorial Protection Brigade in Kharkov was nonetheless outfitted with 72% of its personnel – 2,392 troopers and 256 officers. Nonetheless, it was essential that the unit’s moral-psychological situation was important – identical to within the earlier case in Zaporozhye.
So neglect about restoring fight readiness: that is one other case of a brigade – now in Kharkov – unable to struggle correctly. The sooner case was removed from an exception to the present rule.
The conclusion is stark: with complete brigades in important situation, your complete Ukrainian entrance line could also be falling.
The Hundred Day Debacle
Info on the bottom level to the Russian Armed Forces (RAF) taking the initiative alongside your complete SMO entrance strains. That is acknowledged even by Polish and Estonian intelligence. The primary battles are fought on the Avdeevka-Marinka line within the DPR and the Kupyansk-Svatovo line within the LPR.
The RAF has sufficient manpower and weapons to maintain the Ukrainians in a 24/7 state of despair. Goals stay the identical: to seize your complete DPR and LPR inside their administrative borders.
Alongside this, the ever-disruptive Dmitri Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Safety Council, has introduced a large enhance within the manufacturing of weapons and army tools. Medvedev continually emphasizes that the capabilities of the Russian protection business have reached an unprecedented stage – and far quicker than anticipated.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov, for his half, repeats what International Minister Lavrov has been describing for months now: Kiev – and its NATO handlers – higher understand that they can not and won’t “win” on the battlefield.
Medvedev is all the time joyful to rise: “The West should admit that not solely Donbass and Crimea should not Ukraine, but additionally Odessa, Nikolaev, Kiev and virtually every little thing else.”
It was a pointy response to former NATO Secretary Basic Anders “Fogh of Warfare” Rasmussen, who stated Kiev may very well be admitted to NATO “with out misplaced territories”, referring to Crimea and Donbass.
That put Medvedev on the road: “So what are we going to concede to NATO, you ask? Nicely, we are able to settle for town of Lemberg with its environment [the Lviv region] in the event that they actually insist there.”
This analysis focuses on “what the Russians are doing with their ongoing ‘mud season offensive’ in Ukraine, actually a group of native assaults throughout the entrance line” – aside from Kherson.
Strategically, Russia has not dedicated any of its personal huge reserves, whereas the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) are pressed all alongside the entrance strains – and the Russians are quietly making ready a shock knockout blow elsewhere.
An ideal storm of dwindling funding, arms manufacturing and Western “assist” has darkened Kiev’s horizons, whereas serial Ukrainian disasters on the bottom are so apparent they’re even picked up by Western mainstream media.
That is no “lifeless finish”.
The sooner evaluation is only one amongst many who match the collapse of Ukrainian brigades throughout the entrance strains — consisting “primarily of items already battered by their disastrous Hundred Day Offensive.”
The Hundred Day Offensive ought to somewhat be certified as NATO’s Hundred Day Debacle.
The debacle is the principle motive why the “Biden combo” administration is now desperately attempting to impose a truce: a face-saving gambit as essential as throwing the sweaty sweatshirt in Kiev underneath a double-decker bus.